March Malfeasance

I write this at the end of the second round of the National College Athletic Association’s Men’s Basketball tournament, also known as “March Madness.” (The tournament is now done, of course.) As part of this college tournament, 64 college basketball teams compete to be the champion of college basketball. Per NCAA rules, each team can have up to 13 players on the roster on scholarship. That makes 800+ student athletes, who in exchange for their scholarships, but otherwise don’t get paid, sell out arenas so their schools, NCAA, and television networks can make a lot of money. Now being out of college for nearly a decade, I now firmly believe that college athletes, specifically those in revenue sports (football and basketball), should be paid. Here’s my argument, in part.

What’s that scholarship worth?

One of the perennial schools in the NCAA tournament is the University of Kansas Jay Hawks. What’s the cost to attend Kansas for one year? $25,000 for in-state students, and $41,000 for out-of-state students. Given that student athletes have restrictions on working jobs outside of school, out-of-state tuition and the cost of living, that translates to about $21/hour, which, I’ll admit, looking at any other job for an 18- to 21-year old, isn’t terrible. Certainly well above minimum wage.

The problem is that the student athletes aren’t the only people in this system. There are also NCAA executives and basketball coaches.

Let’s look at the NCAA and the tournament specifically. In 2016, the NCAA made $1,000,000,000 ($1B) off the tournament. Of course, they need to pay a lot of people to run the tournament, rent venues, everything, but that’s still a lot of money, and none of it going to the 800+ players.

I think the NBA is a good reference point: pursuant to the NBA player’s association union contract, the players get 50% of the league’s revenues. Applied to the NCAA tournament, that’s $500M split between the 832 scholarship players, or just about $600,000/player. That’s a lot more than a $41,000 scholarship. Where does that money go instead?

Mark Emmert, the President of the NCAA, made more than $2,400,000 in 2016, or 58x more than the value of one year of scholarship at one of the best basketball schools in the country. That may be relatively small compare to the other executives I’ve looked at on this blog, and I’m sure he has a range of responsibilities, but if you’re a college basketball fan – did you know Mark Emmert’s name? How about the star player on your college basketball team? Do you watch college basketball because of the efforts of Mr. Emmert? Or do you watch because of the actual players playing the game?

Well what about the a man you may know if you were a Jay Hawk basketball fan? Bill Self, head coach of the U. of Kansas men’s basketball team, made over $4 Million this year, or almost 100x more than the value of one year of scholarship.

You might say, well, all those student athletes (a) get a college degree out of it and (b) have a chance to make it in the NBA and make real money.

(a) Of the 15 players on the Kansas team, at the time of writing of this, 10 had not declared a major and 1’s school website biography didn’t even speak to his major. THIS ISN’T A KNOCK ON THE PLAYERS. It’s not a secret that athletic departments steer athletes to less rigorous majors. When I was in college, the joke major that would appear on ESPN when any one football player was highlighted was “General Studies”. So to say that players are getting the best-in-class education their peers are getting, is just not true.

(b) 60 players get drafted to the NBA per year. Of those 800+ players playing the in NCAA tournament, that’s less than 10%. If you’re a professional, can you imagine if only 10% of your class got jobs after graduation? I thought my law school’s 50% employment rate at the bottom of the recession was bad.

And that’s only for the teams and players featured in the tournament. Less than half of Division 1 college teams make the playoffs, which makes that promotion percentage less than 5%. Put another way 95%+ of college basketball players don’t make NBA money.

In my eyes, these players are taken advantage of. Not all, but certainly some of these players do not come from wealthy, or middle class families, and $600K would make a significant difference in their and their families’ lives. I think what the NCAA does is terrible, and while this won’t ever be the case, if I’m ever in a position to change the way this system specifically works, I hope I help to make that change.

Pay your people,
The Anxious, Amateur Economist

Insulin and Cialis

I know a few people who have Type 1 Diabetes. Diabetes is a metabolic disorder that results from the pancreas’ inability to produce enough insulin. One way to treat diabetes is with insulin analog, which was developed in the 1940s. Left untreated, diabetes can be deadly. Today, a few pharmaceutical companies make insulin analog, one of them being Eli Lilly. Lilly produces a family of products under the name Humalog. Lilly has also been accused of increasing the cost of its insulin products, making it untenable for some of those with diabetes to manage their disease.

What I’m getting at it, is that diabetics are effectively a captive consumer base. They need insulin to live. Humalog specifically was approved in 1996. That year, a vial was $21. In 2017, a one month supply was $275. That’s a 1300% increase over a 21-year period. (For reference, inflation over that same time period was just 56.2%). My opinion: that’s a gross thing to do when it’s seriously impacting people’s health.

Having reviewed Lilly’s 2017 annual report, there are three things I want to discuss. (1) executive compensation and Lilly’s profits (big surprise); (2) their marketing budget; and (3) Cialis.

Executive Compensation.
First, some quick hits:
1. CEO, David A. Ricks, made $15.8M in 2017.
2. Total executive compensation for 2017 for 5 executives = $46.7M.
3. Lilly posted $2,737M ($2.7B) in income in 2016.
4. Humalog’s revenues in 2016 were $2.7B.
5. Lilly’s margin on pharmaceuticals in 2016 was 73.4% (meaning the cost of actually making the product is only 26.6% of the price).
5. In 2017, Lilly issued a dividend to its shareholders of $2.25/share (or $590M).
Conclusion/Editor’s Note: Lilly’s executives could have: (a) dropped the cost of Humalog by 20% instead of issuing their dividend or (b) halved the cost of their insulin products and still posted an $1.3B in income in 2016, but instead chose otherwise.

Marketing Budget. Lilly spent $6.5B on their marketing budget in 2016, more than double their revenues from Humalog. Going back to their insulin product – what if they just sold Humalog at-cost, or at 26.6% of the actual price (assuming the average margin)? If they took all lost revenue out of their marketing budget, they’d still be doing $4.5B in marketing. But instead, charged $275 for medically necessary insulin. With a captive consumer base for their biggest drug, what is it that they need to market?

Cialis. Lilly doesn’t just produce insulin. They also produce Cialis, which, if you don’t know, is for the treatment of erectile dysfunction. Lilly’s 2016 revenues from Cialis? $2.4B. How much would Lilly have to increase the cost of Cialis to be able to offer Humalog at cost? 82.5%. Is saving people’s lives worth the cost of paying twice the amount for an erection?
Editor’s Note: YES!

This had nothing to do with employee pay, but I think highlights the business practices of Corporate America, and I think something worth paying attention to. Is this what we want? Are you an owner of Lilly stock, and thus an owner of this company? Is this what you support?

I don’t want this.

Pay your people and try not to kill them,
The Anxious, Amateur Economist

Prime Tax Avoidance

Amazon was in the news last month.  Amazon paid $0 in federal income taxes last year (2018), despite making record profits of $11.2 BILLION.

This whole thing makes better sense if we answer the question: why do we, the general public and corporations pay taxes? The short answer is that we benefit from having a government, and that government has bills to pay

The benefits of a government? The short list: (1) infrastructure (e.g., roads and airports); (2) defense (e.g., army); and (3) rules (e.g., courts and enforcement agencies to make sure everyone plays by the rules, i.e., stability). 

The cost of any one of those things is too great for any one person or company to invest in and see a justifiable return; but when we all invest a portion, the return is/should be worth it.

Back to Amazon. Over 2018, Amazon’s stock increased from $1,229/share on January 5, 2018 to $1,539 on January 2, 2019.  That’s a 25% increase in value (compare that US Dept of Treasury rates on 10-Year Treasury Notes, a proxy for what you could be getting on your savings account balance, which went between 2.4% and 3.2% in 2018).  Amazon was a WINNER in 2018.  A winner that made it in the U.S. economy. And yet, they paid nothing towards the system.

Well they created a lot of jobs? Okay.  In their 2017 Annual Report, reports 560,000 employees (compare to 140,000 Boeing employees, or x4 as much).  They actually go on to claim having added more than 130,000 jobs (Page 4 of CEO Jeff Bezos letter to shareholders).

But are those 130K jobs good jobs? In their pay ratio disclosure, Amazon discloses that their media compensated employee made $28,446 in 2017.  (Compare that to Boeing, whose median employee made $100K+, or about x4 more.) 
Put another way: HALF OF AMAZON’S EMPLOYEES MADE LESS THAN $29K IN 2017.  That translates to less than $14/hour (assuming 40-hour weeks, 52 weeks/year).

How does that compare to their CEO compensation? Jeff Bezos – arguably the most visible executive at Amazon – is reported to have been compensated $1,681,840 ($1,600,000 of that being for “security arrangements”).  Mr. Bezos has taken a ceremonial pay freeze and only drew a salary of $81,840 in 2017.  That results in a reported pay ratio of just 1-to-59 (compare to the 1-to-166 at Boeing).  Mr. Bezos’s compensation isn’t what caught my attention though. 

Jeffrey Wilke, CEO of Worldwide Consumer had reported compensation in 2016 of $32,958,114.   

The public company reporting requirements only require a statement on the CEO-to-median-employee ratio. So what was Mr. Wilke’s pay ratio compare to 2017 median employee salary?  1-to-1,158! (I can’t find their media employee compensation report for 2016).  Even considering that his stock compensation is only vested (paid) every three years, that’s still a 1-to-386 ratio.

Looking back at the previous blog post, that arrived at a baseline of 1-to-80: EDITORIAL: W.T.F.!

So: (1) one of the most “winning” companies in the country paid nothing for working within the government; and (2) it felt one its executives brought enough value to be paid more than 1,000 times more than its median employee.  What else could there be?

In 2015, the “living wage” (or what the “working poor” would need “to achieve financial independence while maintaining housing and food security”) was $15.12/hour ($1 more/hour than half of Amazon’s workforce) or $31,449/year ($3K/year more than half of Amazon’s workforce).  What happens when someone doesn’t make a living wage? They get government assistance, e.g., housing assistance or food stamps.  And that actually happened with Amazon’s employees.

What does that mean? You and me, friend, whose reading this – our taxes effectively subsidized Amazon’s business and shareholders

Also, $15.12/hour is a national number.  Amazon has a registered address in Seattle, Washington.  The living wage in Seattle? $34.46/hour.  More than double.

EDITORIAL: W.T.F.!

Let’s look at some trade offs.

  1. What if in 2017, Amazon only had a 14% increase in stock value instead of 25%? How many employees could they have given $1K/month ($12K/year) raises to?  Amazon’s market capitalization on 1/3/2017 = $369B.  Amazon’s market capitalization on 12/29/17 was $576B.  If they had only seen a 14% increase = $420B maket cap.  The difference? $156B.  Divided by $12K discounted at 5% rate to account for future value (an effective value of $240K)?  650K employees (more than its workforce) could have received a $1,000/month raise, and Amazon could still have had a 14% annual increase in stock value.  Put another way – it could have given +$24K/year to the bottom half of its employee base.
  2. What if, instead of $32M, their CEO of Worldwide Consumer made $10M? How many employees could they have given $1K/month ($12K/year) raises to?  $22M divided by $12K = 1,833 employees.

So who determines what CEOs get paid? Shareholders and the board of directors.  Amazon reported 9 independent directors (all independent except Bezos) in the same proxy where Mr. Wilke was paid $32M: (1) Tom Alberg; (2) John Seely Brown; (3) Jamie Gorelick; (4) Daniel Huttenlocher; (5) Judith McGrath; (6) Jonathan Rubinstein; (7) Thomas Ryder; (8) Patricia Stonesifer; and (9) Wendell Weeks.  Huttonlocher, McGrath, and Rubinstein are on the “Leadership Development and Compensation Committee”.  The Board recommended a vote “for” approval of their executive compensation structure.

EDITORIAL: What the hell, guys?

This was all in the name of “long-term shareholder value.” Which will be for another post.

Again, I ask – is this really how we want to be valuing people?  Such that an executive can make x1000 more than another company employee?  Are you an Amazon shareholder that supported this executive compensation?

PAY YOUR PEOPLE,
The Anxious, Amateur Economist

Boeing and the Team

Bo Schembechlar, the late, esteemed head coach of the Michigan football team said: “The Team, The Team, The Team”, when he addressed the team in 1983.  “No man is more important than the Team.”

That belief is (allegedly) shared by Dennis Builenburg, CEO of Boeing.
Mr. Builenburg did an interview with Kai Rysddal on February 11, 2019’s show of the public radio show, “Marketplace” (segment begins at 16:25).  The full interview was broadcast on Marketplace’s Corner Office Podcast.

@2:30 (slightly edited for clarity and emphasis)

KR: “102-year old company. Coming off your best year ever. How much of that was you and how much of that is this is just a good time to be an aerospace company in the global economy?
DB: “Well it’s all about the team. I’m just extraordinarily proud of our team’s performance. We have the most amazing talent in the world, and I think that is the number one key to our success….

How does Boeing show that pride in its talent?

Section 953(b) of the Dodd-Frank Act requires publicly traded companies to disclose, publicly, the median employee income and the CEO’s annual total compensation.  This is usually disclosed in a proxy to the public company’s annual financial disclosure, their “10-K.”

Let’s look at Boeing’s 10-K compensation proxy!

Page 46 of the Proxy:
1. For 2017, median employee income = $111,204.
2. CEO compensation? $18,450,416.
3. The reported ratio between the two? The CEO made 166 times the median employee.

This is an imperfect shorthand, but another way to say this is that the CEO’s time and energy was worth 166 times more than their average employee.  Not their base/bottom employee, but average employee.

EDITORIAL: I think that’s kind of unreasonably high.

This is an incomplete list (that I hope to make more complete over time), but here are some factors that might speak to compensation:

  1. Experience.  Mr. Builenberg has been with Boeing his entire professional career, since he was an intern.  Maybe that’s worth x2 his compensation over another employee.  (E.g, for work that you pay an average employee $50K for, you’d pay him $100K.)
  2. Work Day.  A CEO doesn’t work 9AM to 5PM or 40 hours a week.  Let says he works 100 hours a week.  That’s a x2.5 factor to an average 40-hour week.   ($50K vs. $125K)
  3. Responsibility.  CEOs are undoubtedly responsible for a lot more than a company’s average employee.  Let’s say that’s a x2 factor.   ($50K vs. $100K)
  4. Risk: CEOs – or Chief Executive Officers – have to make executive decisions, which I’ve come to appreciate involves assuming a lot of risk most employees don’t ever have to.  Let’s say that’s a x4 factor.  ($50K vs. $200K)
  5. Effectiveness.  Let’s say a CEO is really effective.  From the interview, under Mr. Builenberg, Boeing had it’s best year ever.  Let’s say that’s a x2 factor.   ($50K vs. $100K)

Cumulatively, the above gets you a combined factor of x80, or about half that of the actual ratio. I also think this factor is better applied not to their median employee, and probably not their bottom employee, but somewhere in between (bottom 25% percentile, maybe) (EDITORIAL: I’m kind of appalled even arriving at this x80 factor.)

EDITORIAL: I hope to use this blog to flesh this out for myself and anyone who cares to read this, but my working hypothesis is that income inequality is a significant driver in the wealth gap (which is a serious problem, but for another post); an increased wealth gap leads to country/community instability; community stability is either an ignored or a super-discounted factor in the wealthy’s decision-making both for the medium and long term, which only worsens the problem.  Relatedly, I also think that non-executive workers are under-valued with respect to the comparable value they bring to a company.

With the disclaimer that yes, I understand Boeing’s CEO compensation wasn’t all cash, what could Boeing have done with the money had the CEO’s compensation been cut in half (still netting him $9 Million)?

How many employees could they give another $1,000/month with that money ($12,000/year)?  
$9M divided by $12K = 750 employees.

What about Boeing’s other top  executives? They report compensation for four other executives in their proxy (Page 37).  Those other reported compensation totals? $17M, $9.8M, $9.6M, and $7.2M.  What if all five of the executives comps were cut in half? That’s $30 Million!

Number of employees who could get another $1,000/month ($12,000/year)? 2,500 employees.

I’d venture that another $1,000/month would be pretty meaningful to the 2,500 employees at the bottom of Boeing’s income scale.

I only mean to use Boeing as an example.  From the outside, Boeing actually seems like a cool company.  I have no doubt flown in their planes (Coach) and space is dope.  I don’t have anything against Boeing as a company or Mr. Builenburg as an individual.   I’m sure he brings much more value to his company than I do to the company I work for.  I’m sure he brings a lot more value to his company than their average employee.  I just don’t think it’s 166 times more. Admittedly, you increase just a few of the assumed factors, and it’s not hard to get to x166 (but move them in the opposite direction – like a CEO who works 60 hours/week, not 100, and you get a much smaller number quickly).  

As evidence that I really have nothing against Boeing specifically, two other points:

First:  later in the interview, Mr. Builenburg says that with the additional capital they realized from the 2017 tax reform law, they allocated $100M into the workforce, spread out over education, health care, and salaries.  He doesn’t specify how much of that $100M actually went directly to wages or which employees it went to, but 1/3 is roughly the same number as the executive compensation split number I use above, if you want to determine on your own how meaningful it really is.

Second: I actually think (my opinion), that their median $100K+ income is pretty good relative to other big public companies whose 10-Ks I’ve looked at.

Still, I think it’s worthwhile to be mindful of how our society and its corporate institutions compensate its citizens and workers.  Is this really how it should be done?  I hope to explore that more.

If you made it all the way to the end, I appreciate it. 

Pay your people.
–The Anxious, Amateur Economist